Skip to content

Methods

Maps for the next thirty days

These are operating methods, not personality tests. Use them before the spreadsheet. A budget that cannot pay payroll is a forecast of a conversation you will not enjoy.

01

Profit First

Take profit before the month spends it. Operating cash is what remains, not what you hope remains.

  • The moment revenue lands, split it: profit, owner pay, tax, operating. Four pots beat one current account.
  • Start with 1% profit if 10% feels absurd. The habit is the asset; the percentage can rise in surplus months.
  • In Keel, log owner pay and tax as their own lines so surplus is after you have been paid, and after the taxman.
  • If cash is tight, still move a token amount to profit. A pot that exists gets protected; a leftover never does.

02

Runway thinking

Runway is not a vibe. It is opening cash plus credit, divided by net burn, counted in months.

  • Net burn is recurring costs minus recurring revenue. One-offs do not count as a business model.
  • Three months is a weather warning. Six is a working buffer. Twelve is the room to make a slow decision well.
  • Keel’s planner colours the year: growing, tight, critical, or a breach of cash plus credit.
  • A growing firm still tracks runway. A sales slump should not be the first time you do the division.

03

Zero-based operating

Give every unit a job. Revenue minus assigned jobs should equal the plan — leftover money without a name disappears.

  • List the next 30 days of expected cash in. Assign it to payroll, tax, rent, suppliers, and profit until nothing is unlabelled.
  • A sinking fund is a named envelope for irregular costs: annual insurance, stock builds, a laptop cycle, a conference.
  • When a line overspends, pull from another job. That friction is the point. Silent overdraft is not a strategy.
  • Review weekly for 15 minutes while the month is still alive. Monthly is too late to catch a quiet leak.

04

Contribution, not vanity revenue

Turnover is a vanity metric if contribution cannot pay payroll. Price from the unit, not from the neighbour.

  • Contribution is revenue minus the costs that move with it — COGS, payment fees, contractor hours on the job.
  • If contribution cannot cover rent and payroll after a normal month, the price or the mix is wrong. Spreadsheets will not save it.
  • Keel maps COGS against revenue as gross margin. A cafe at 25% and a studio at 80% are different machines.
  • Discounting to win a logo is a loan you make to a customer. Log it as a decision, not as a rounding error.

05

A boring tax reserve

VAT, PAYE, and corporation tax are not surprises. They are a monthly line that happens to be paid later.

  • Park tax in a separate account the week revenue lands. Instant-access, not investments. The job is sleep, not yield.
  • A starting map: 15% of revenue for mixed income, more if you are VAT-registered and the output tax is real.
  • Windfalls — a fat invoice, a grant — are how people skip a quarter. Split them the same day, or they become lifestyle.
  • Log the reserve as a cost in Keel even if the HMRC payment is quarterly. The cash left the operating pot when you set it aside.

When cutting is not enough

A budget cannot outrun a shortfall. If payroll and rent consume take-home cash, work on revenue, not on the colour of the chart.

  • Price the next ten jobs 8–12% higher. Tell existing retainers on a date, not in a panic.
  • Invoice the day the work ships. Seven days to pay, not thirty. Chase on day eight.
  • A productised service with a floor beats an untested marketplace listing. Package what you already do.
  • See Channels for places that already have buyers — retainers, storefronts, recurring, grants.
Raise the ceiling